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Austin FC II vs San Jose Earthquakes II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Parmer Filed, Austin, TX
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Austin FC II at 1.97 goals for, 0.93 against; San Jose Earthquakes II at 1.9 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Austin FC II slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.00, favoring Austin FC II. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Austin FC II
15%
Draws
36%
San Jose Earthquakes II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austin FC II come out ahead of San Jose Earthquakes II on wins alone.
  • Austin FC II are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Austin FC II have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor San Jose Earthquakes II, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 20%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC II San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:0
Aug 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Austin FC II
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Austin FC II
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs San Jose Earthquakes II
3:4
Apr 21, 2024 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Austin FC II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 42 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC II San Jose Earthquakes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Austin FC II scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

San Jose Earthquakes II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Austin FC II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC II VS San Jose Earthquakes II
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin FC II

(Home)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Austin FC II
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
24 Aug
Austin FC II
1 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes II
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San Jose Earthquakes II

(Away)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Crown Legacy -
New York Red Bulls II -
Chattanooga -
New York City II -
Atlanta United 2 -
CT United FC -
Columbus Crew 2 -
New England Revolution II -
Austin FC II -
TBD -
Portland Timbers 2 -
St. Louis City 2 -
Ventura County -
Minnesota United 2 -
Houston Dynamo 2 -
Los Angeles FC 2 -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -