Sport Picks
Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II
USA
MLS Next Pro Parmer Filed, Austin, TX 
Match Events
22'
22'
Abarca D.
Assist: Badawiya M.
45'
45'
Abarca D.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Worcester S. In: Wantland Z.
Out: Worcester S.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between Austin FC II and Sporting Kansas City II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austin FC II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Austin FC II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sporting Kansas City II haven't matched Austin FC II's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Austin FC II taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Austin FC II here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Austin FC II | Sporting Kansas City II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II
2:1
May 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Austin FC II
0:3
Aug 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Austin FC II
1:3
Jun 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II
1:0
May 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Austin FC II Compare
Top Goalscorer Abarca D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Sporting Kansas City II Compare
Top Goalscorer Donovan S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Austin FC II 85 / 100
Sporting Kansas City II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Austin FC II Sporting Kansas City II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Austin FC II's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Sporting Kansas City II let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Austin FC II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Austin FC II VS Sporting Kansas City II
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Austin FC II
(Home) 13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3 Minnesota United 2
06 Jul
Austin FC II
3 : 2 Colorado Rapids 2
28 Jun
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2 Austin FC II
22 Jun
Austin FC II
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
14 Jun
Minnesota United 2
1 : 3 Austin FC II
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3 Minnesota United 2
06 Jul
Austin FC II
3 : 2 Colorado Rapids 2
22 Jun
Austin FC II
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
08 Jun
Austin FC II
2 : 0 Los Angeles FC 2
18 May
Austin FC II
4 : 1 St. Louis City 2
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Kansas City II
(Away) 08 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
6 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
22 Jun
Austin FC II
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
09 Jun
Minnesota United 2
4 : 3 Sporting Kansas City II
30 May
Real Monarchs
1 : 3 Sporting Kansas City II
23 May
Sporting Kansas City II
0 : 3 Austin FC II
Page 1 of 6
08 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
6 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
22 Jun
Austin FC II
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
09 Jun
Minnesota United 2
4 : 3 Sporting Kansas City II
30 May
Real Monarchs
1 : 3 Sporting Kansas City II
17 May
North Texas
5 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 33:29 | 36 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls II | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:27 | 32 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 4 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 26 |
| 6 | CT United FC | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 31:31 | 25 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 39:32 | 33 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 38:26 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 29:35 | 22 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:22 | 34 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 32:27 | 29 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 28:28 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 37:19 | 28 |
| 5 | Real Monarchs | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 29:31 | 26 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 19:24 | 24 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 37:14 | 37 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 28:31 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 29:30 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 23:50 | 13 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 16:35 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 33:29 | 36 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 39:32 | 33 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:27 | 32 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 38:26 | 30 |
| 8 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 26 |
| 11 | CT United FC | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 31:31 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 29:35 | 22 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 37:14 | 37 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:22 | 34 |
| 4 | Minnesota United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 28:31 | 29 |
| 5 | Ventura County | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 32:27 | 29 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 28:28 | 29 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 29:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 37:19 | 28 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 29:31 | 26 |
| 10 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 19:24 | 24 |
| 11 | North Texas | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 23:50 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 16:35 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)