Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Hines-Ike B.
Assist: Torres F.
25'
25'
Trapp W.
38'
38'
Sanchez I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Minnesota United have won more games recently than Austin FC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 68%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Austin FC | Minnesota United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 MLS
Minnesota United vs Austin FC
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs Minnesota United
2:2
Sep 18, 2025 US Open Cup
Minnesota United vs Austin FC
1:2
May 25, 2025 MLS
Minnesota United vs Austin FC
1:1
May 4, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Minnesota United
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Austin FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Hines-Ike B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Uzuni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Minnesota United Compare
Top Goalscorer Duggan M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yeboah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Austin FC 41 / 100
Minnesota United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Austin FC Minnesota United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Austin FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Minnesota United let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Difficult form: Minnesota United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Austin FC VS Minnesota United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Austin FC
(Home) 26 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0 Austin FC
23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1 Seattle Sounders
08 Jul
Austin FC
4 : 0 Sporting Jax
03 Jul
Austin FC
0 : 1 Queretaro
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0 Austin FC
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1 Seattle Sounders
08 Jul
Austin FC
4 : 0 Sporting Jax
03 Jul
Austin FC
0 : 1 Queretaro
17 May
Austin FC
1 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
03 May
Austin FC
2 : 0 St. Louis City
Page 1 of 3
Minnesota United
(Away) 26 Jul
Minnesota United
0 : 0 Vancouver Whitecaps
23 Jul
Sporting Kansas City
2 : 1 Minnesota United
23 May
Minnesota United
1 : 1 Real Salt Lake
16 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1 Minnesota United
14 May
Minnesota United
0 : 1 Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Sporting Kansas City
2 : 1 Minnesota United
16 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1 Minnesota United
02 May
Columbus Crew
2 : 3 Minnesota United
29 Apr
San Jose Earthquakes
4 : 2 Minnesota United
23 Apr
FC Dallas
0 : 1 Minnesota United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
