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Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austin FC host Real Salt Lake in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Real Salt Lake have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Austin FC have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.4. Head-to-head, Austin FC have won 0 to Real Salt Lake's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.44, favoring Real Salt Lake. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Austin FC
30%
Draws
54%
Real Salt Lake
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Salt Lake

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Real Salt Lake at 1.6 per game, Austin FC at 1.4.
  • Real Salt Lake are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 16%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC Real Salt Lake
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Austin FC
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Austin FC
3:1
May 29, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake
2:2
Jun 2, 2024 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Austin FC
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC 10 / 100
Real Salt Lake 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC Real Salt Lake

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Salt Lake Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Salt Lake let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Austin FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Austin FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC VS Real Salt Lake
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 2
Vancouver Whitecaps
15 Oct
Los Angeles FC
3 : 1
Austin FC
11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4
Nashville SC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
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Real Salt Lake

(Away)
18 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 3
Real Salt Lake
15 Oct
Real Salt Lake
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
10 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 16 7 7 63:31 55
2 St. Louis City 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
3 FC Dallas 30 14 9 7 55:47 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 30 13 9 8 52:42 48
5 Houston Dynamo 30 13 8 9 41:39 47
6 Los Angeles FC 31 12 10 9 48:33 46
7 Seattle Sounders 30 11 9 10 39:37 42
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31 10 10 11 43:52 40
9 Colorado Rapids 30 11 6 13 41:41 39
10 Real Salt Lake 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
11 Portland Timbers 30 9 7 14 51:56 34
12 San Diego FC 30 8 10 12 53:56 34
13 Minnesota United 30 8 10 12 47:55 34
14 Austin FC 30 7 10 13 38:56 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 30 6 4 20 36:75 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 20 7 3 64:23 67
2 Inter Miami 30 15 10 5 73:51 55
3 New England Revolution 30 16 4 10 49:41 52
4 Chicago Fire 30 14 6 10 52:44 48
5 Charlotte FC 30 13 8 9 53:45 47
6 Philadelphia Union 30 13 7 10 61:48 46
7 Orlando City 30 12 5 13 58:70 41
8 New York Red Bulls 30 10 6 14 39:56 36
9 FC Cincinnati 29 9 9 11 60:70 36
10 Toronto FC 30 8 12 10 46:55 36
11 Columbus Crew 30 10 5 15 46:47 35
12 New York City 30 8 10 12 43:41 34
13 DC United 29 7 12 10 37:51 33
14 Atlanta United 30 8 6 16 37:51 30
15 CF Montreal 30 6 7 17 36:60 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)