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Austin FC vs Sporting Jax

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austin FC play Sporting Jax in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Austin FC averaged 1 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Sporting Jax averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Austin FC won 2, Sporting Jax won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Austin FC and 1.44 for Sporting Jax. This points to a Sporting Jax double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Austin FC
21%
Draws
40%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Sporting Jax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Austin FC picked up more points recently compared to Sporting Jax.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC Sporting Jax
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Austin FC vs Sporting Jax
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Sporting Jax vs Austin FC
1-0
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Austin FC vs Sporting Jax
1-0
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Sporting Jax vs Austin FC
3-0
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Austin FC vs Sporting Jax
2-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC 38 / 100
Sporting Jax 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC Sporting Jax

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sporting Jax or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Austin FC attacking → ← attacking Sporting Jax

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Sporting Jax let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Austin FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Jax lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 23
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13