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Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austin FC host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Austin FC at 1.45 goals for, 1.59 against; Vancouver Whitecaps at 1.87 for, 1.26 against. Past meetings favor Vancouver Whitecaps slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.56) back Vancouver Whitecaps to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Austin FC
35%
Draws
24%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Austin FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vancouver Whitecaps come out ahead of Austin FC on wins alone.
  • Austin FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 15%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC
1:2
May 18, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC
5:1
Sep 1, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:1
May 5, 2024 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC 41 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Austin FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Austin FC's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vancouver Whitecaps has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC VS Vancouver Whitecaps
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)