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Austin vs Ocean City

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Austin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Austin
15%
Draws
53%
Ocean City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ocean City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austin come out ahead of Ocean City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ocean City's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Austin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Austin, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Austin Clean Sheet 10%
Ocean City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin Ocean City
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 23 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.87 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2013 USL League Two
Austin vs Ocean City
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin 10 / 100
Ocean City 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin Ocean City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocean City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Austin scored in 73% of their last 45 outings.

Defensive concern: Ocean City conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Austin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ocean City
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin

(Home)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 3
Austin
18 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
3 : 2
Austin
10 Sept
Colorado Springs
3 : 0
Austin
06 Sept
Austin
2 : 1
Tacoma Defiance
30 Aug
Oklahoma City Energy FC
2 : 0
Austin
Page 1 of 9

Ocean City

(Away)
19 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ocean City
17 Jul
Ocean City
2 : 0
Motown 2
11 Jul
Ocean City
2 : 0
Eagle FC
08 Jul
Ocean City
2 : 2
LVU Rush
02 Jul
LVU Rush
1 : 3
Ocean City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Thunder Bay Chill -
TBD -
Flint City 4
Chicago Fire II 0
Forest City London -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Colorado -
Victoria Highlanders FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventura -
Fresno FC 2 -
TBD -
Portland Timbers 3 2
Vancouver Whitecaps U23 1
Austin -
TBD -
TBD -
Panama City -
Ocala Stampede -
TBD -
TBD -
Laredo Heat -
Ottawa Fury 6
Portland Phoenix 0
Baltimore Bohemians 1
Reading 3
Ocean City -
TBD -
Salem City 2
Virginia Beach Piranhas 1
1/8-finals
Thunder Bay Chill 1
Flint City 0
Forest City London 1
Real Colorado 0
Victoria Highlanders FC 3
Ventura 2
Fresno FC 2 1
Portland Timbers 3 2
Austin 4
Panama City 0
Ocala Stampede 0
Laredo Heat 2
Ottawa Fury 3
Reading 2
Ocean City 1
Salem City 0
Quarter-finals
Thunder Bay Chill 3
Forest City London 0
Victoria Highlanders FC 1
Portland Timbers 3 0
Austin 2
Laredo Heat 0
Ottawa Fury 1
Ocean City 3
Semi-finals
Thunder Bay Chill 2
Victoria Highlanders FC 0
Austin 1
Ocean City 0
Final
Thunder Bay Chill 1
Austin 3