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Australia U16 W vs Japan U16 W

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AFC Championship Women U16 2011 Jiangning Sports Center
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AI Match Summary

Australia U16 W play Japan U16 W in the AFC Championship Women U16 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Australia U16 W averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Japan U16 W averaged 2.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Australia U16 W won 1, Japan U16 W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 15, 2019 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.27 for Australia U16 W and 2.24 for Japan U16 W. This points to a Japan U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Australia U16 W
30%
Draws
34%
Japan U16 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Australia U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan U16 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Australia U16 W.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Australia U16 W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in AFC Championship Women U16 2011 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Australia U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U16 W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U16 W Japan U16 W
Matches Played 23 33
Wins 10 25
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.8 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2019 AFC Championship Women U16
Japan U16 W vs Australia U16 W
0:0
Sep 11, 2017 AFC Championship Women U16
Japan U16 W vs Australia U16 W
5:0
Nov 13, 2011 AFC Championship Women U16
Australia U16 W vs Japan U16 W
0:1
Nov 15, 2009 AFC Championship Women U16
Japan U16 W vs Australia U16 W
6:2
Nov 9, 2009 AFC Championship Women U16
Japan U16 W vs Australia U16 W
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U16 W 34 / 100
Japan U16 W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U16 W Japan U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U16 W scored in 61% of their last 23 games.

Japan U16 W let in goals in 39% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Australia U16 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Japan U16 W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U16 W VS Japan U16 W
1.8 Goals Scored 2.88
1.6 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%