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Australia U17 W vs Thailand U17 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Punch L.
38' Event
Kurisara L.
Assist: Yingsakul A.
67' Event
Moondong R.

AI Match Summary

Thailand U17 W in this AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thailand U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Australia U17 W
28%
Draws
22%
Thailand U17 W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Australia U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Not much separates Australia U17 W and Thailand U17 W on recent form.
  • Australia U17 W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Australia U17 W Clean Sheet 16%
Thailand U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U17 W Thailand U17 W
Matches Played 11 8
Wins 2 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
Australia U17 W vs Thailand U17 W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Punch L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Thailand U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurisara L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moondong R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U17 W 48 / 100
Thailand U17 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U17 W Thailand U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Australia U17 W scored in 64% of their last 11 outings.

Australia U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U17 W VS Thailand U17 W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U17 W330022:09
2South Korea U17 W311113:84
3Philippines U17 W31117:84
4Indonesia U17 W30031:270
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U17 W330012:19
2China U17 W32016:46
3Thailand U17 W31023:83
4Australia U17 W30032:100