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Australia U19 vs North Korea U19

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Australia U19 play North Korea U19 in the AFC Championship U19 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Australia U19 averaged 3.04 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. North Korea U19 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Australia U19 won 1, North Korea U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 8, 2017 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Australia U19 and 0.75 for North Korea U19. This points to a Australia U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Australia U19
15%
Draws
30%
North Korea U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Australia U19 picked up more points recently compared to North Korea U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Australia U19 Clean Sheet 27%
North Korea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U19 North Korea U19
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 3.04 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2017 AFC Championship U19
Australia U19 vs North Korea U19
4:1
Oct 17, 2010 AFC Championship U19
North Korea U19 vs Australia U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Monge F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Najjar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

North Korea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U19 55 / 100
North Korea U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U19 North Korea U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Australia U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Australia U19 attacking → ← attacking North Korea U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U19 scored in 92% of their last 25 games.

North Korea U19 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Australia U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

North Korea U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 41
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1United Arab Emirates U19430110:39
2Oman U19421110:67
3Bahrain U1942117:37
4Kyrgyzstan U1942025:86
5Nepal U1940040:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tajikistan U19431012:010
2Uzbekistan U19430117:19
3Bangladesh U1942115:17
4Maldives U1940132:141
5Sri Lanka U1940132:221
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Qatar U1921103:14
2Iraq U1921103:14
3Lebanon U1920020:40
4Afghanistan U1900000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Saudi Arabia U1933008:19
2Yemen U1931114:24
3India U1931113:54
4Turkmenistan U1930030:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jordan U1932104:17
2Iran U1931205:15
3Syria U1931115:54
4Palestine U1930032:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1South Korea U19440022:012
2Malaysia U1943018:59
3Indonesia U19420211:86
4Timor-Leste U1940133:141
5Brunei U1940132:191
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1China U1933008:09
2Cambodia U1931113:34
3Myanmar U1931028:43
4Philippines U1930120:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vietnam U1933008:19
2Chinese Taipei U1932015:26
3Macau U1931021:43
4Laos U1930030:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U19330016:19
2Thailand U1932019:56
3Mongolia U1931026:143
4Singapore U1930033:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Australia U1922007:16
2North Korea U1921016:53
3Hong Kong U1920021:80
4Northern Mariana Islands U1900000:00