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Australia U20 vs Mongolia U20

World World

Friendly International 2024 Shuangliu Sports Center, Chengdu
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Amanatidis N.
(Penalty)
9' Event
Bugarija A.
26' Event
Bugarija A.

AI Match Summary

Australia U20 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 10-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Australia U20
15%
Draws
39%
Mongolia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mongolia U20 haven't matched Australia U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Australia U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Australia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Mongolia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U20 Mongolia U20
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 15 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.47 4.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Australia U20 vs Mongolia U20
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bugarija A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Quintal T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Mongolia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U20 83 / 100
Mongolia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U20 Mongolia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 10.00 goals per match.

Mongolia U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Recent resilience: Australia U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U20 VS Mongolia U20
2 Goals Scored 3.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Australia U20
0 : 2
Indonesia U20
03 Sept
Malaysia U20
2 : 2
Australia U20
31 Aug
Australia U20
2 : 0
Laos U20
31 Mar
China U20
2 : 4
Australia U20
28 Mar
China U20
1 : 0
Australia U20
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Mongolia U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Mongolia U20
3 : 0
Guam U20
31 Aug
Northern Mariana Islands U20
0 : 7
Mongolia U20
19 Nov
Australia U20
10 : 0
Mongolia U20
16 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U20
7 : 0
Mongolia U20
13 Nov
China U20
6 : 0
Mongolia U20
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