Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Australia U23 vs New Caledonia

World World

Friendly International 2024
Thu, Sep 5, 2024
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Australia U23 host New Caledonia in the Friendly International 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. New Caledonia have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Australia U23 have conceded 0.79 and scored 2.32. Head-to-head, Australia U23 have won 0 to New Caledonia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.51, favoring Australia U23. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Australia U23
20%
Draws
40%
New Caledonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Australia U23 come out ahead of New Caledonia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Australia U23's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U23 New Caledonia
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 1
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.32 2.2
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2024 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs New Caledonia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U23 67 / 100
New Caledonia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U23 New Caledonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Australia U23 scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: New Caledonia conceded in 65% of 20 recent games.

Solid form: Australia U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Australia U23 VS New Caledonia
3.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U23

(Home)
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1
Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 6

New Caledonia

(Away)
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1
Jamaica
08 Oct
Gibraltar
0 : 2
New Caledonia
24 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 3
New Zealand
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
17 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
New Caledonia
Page 1 of 4