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Australia U23 vs North Korea U22

World World

Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Gersbach A.
61' Event
Piscopo R.
75' Event
Mourdoukoutas T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2019 game between Australia U23 and North Korea U22 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Australia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Australia U23
6%
Draws
4%
North Korea U22
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Australia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Australia U23 come out ahead of North Korea U22 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Australia U23 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
North Korea U22 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U23 North Korea U22
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 17 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2019 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs North Korea U22
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gersbach A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piscopo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

North Korea U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U23 85 / 100
North Korea U22 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U23 North Korea U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Australia U23 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

North Korea U22's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 12 matches.

Australia U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U23 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U23

(Home)
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1
Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0
China U23
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North Korea U22

(Away)
19 Nov
China U23
0 : 1
North Korea U22
17 Nov
Australia U23
4 : 0
North Korea U22
15 Nov
North Korea U22
1 : 1
Lithuania U23
05 Sept
China U22
1 : 1
North Korea U22
15 Jan
North Korea U22
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U22
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