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Australia U23 vs South Korea U23

World World

Friendly International
Tue, Oct 6, 2026
2 - 2
02:00 AM
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Match Events

10' Event
34' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Australia U23 host South Korea U23 in the Friendly International. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Australia U23 have averaged 2.26 scored and 0.81 conceded recently, against South Korea U23's 1.77 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Australia U23 have won 1 to South Korea U23's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.33) back South Korea U23 to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Australia U23
15%
Draws
61%
South Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • South Korea U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives South Korea U23 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 18%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia U23 South Korea U23
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.26 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs South Korea U23
2:2
Oct 3, 2026 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs South Korea U23
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Australia U23 vs South Korea U23
1:2
Jun 9, 2025 Friendly International
South Korea U23 vs Australia U23
0:2
Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
South Korea U23 vs Australia U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia U23 10 / 100
South Korea U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia U23 South Korea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Australia U23 scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: South Korea U23 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Australia U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia U23 VS South Korea U23
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia U23

(Home)
03 Oct
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1
Thailand U23
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South Korea U23

(Away)
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
03 Oct
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
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