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Australia vs Brazil

World World

Friendly International Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Australia host Brazil in the Friendly International. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Brazil have shipped 0.96 goals a game lately, while Australia have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Brazil slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2017, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.81, favoring Brazil. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Australia
30%
Draws
47%
Brazil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brazil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Brazil average 1.89 goals a game right now, well clear of Australia's 1.64.
  • Win probability leans Brazil's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brazil have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Australia Clean Sheet 11%
Brazil Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia Brazil
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.64 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2017 Friendly International
Australia vs Brazil
0:4
Sep 7, 2013 Friendly International
Brazil vs Australia
6:0
Jun 18, 2006 World Championship
Brazil vs Australia
2:0
Jun 9, 2001 FIFA Confederations Cup
Australia vs Brazil
1:0
Dec 21, 1997 FIFA Confederations Cup
Brazil vs Australia
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia 18 / 100
Brazil 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia Brazil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Australia found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Brazil conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Australia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Australia VS Brazil
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia

(Home)
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Switzerland
1 : 1
Australia
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Brazil

(Away)
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1
Morocco
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