Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Diks K.
Penalty Missed
18'
18'
Boyle M.
(Penalty)
20'
20'
Velupillay N.
AI Match Summary
Australia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Indonesia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Australia have won more games recently than Indonesia.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Australia Clean Sheet 15%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Australia | Indonesia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2025 World Championship
Australia vs Indonesia
5:1
Sep 10, 2024 World Championship
Indonesia vs Australia
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Asian Cup
Australia vs Indonesia
4:0
Mar 3, 2010 Asian Cup
Australia vs Indonesia
1:0
Jan 28, 2009 Asian Cup
Indonesia vs Australia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Australia Compare
Top Goalscorer Irvine J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Velupillay N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Indonesia Compare
Top Goalscorer Romeny O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Australia 35 / 100
Indonesia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Australia Indonesia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Indonesia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Australia's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Australia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Indonesia let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Australia VS Indonesia
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Australia
(Home) 25 Sept
Australia
1 : 1 Brazil
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2 Egypt
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0 Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0 Australia
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0 Turkey
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Australia
1 : 1 Brazil
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2 Egypt
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0 Turkey
31 Mar
Australia
5 : 1 Curacao
27 Mar
Australia
1 : 0 Cameroon
Page 1 of 3
Indonesia
(Away) 25 Sept
Indonesia
2 : 0 Singapore
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1 Indonesia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3 Vietnam
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3 Indonesia
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1 Cambodia
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1 Indonesia
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3 Indonesia
11 Oct
Iraq
1 : 0 Indonesia
10 Jun
Japan
6 : 0 Indonesia
20 Mar
Australia
5 : 1 Indonesia
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Qatar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:24 | 13 |
| 5 | Kyrgyzstan | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 6 | North Korea | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Jordan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Iraq | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 15 |
| 4 | Oman | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Palestine | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Kuwait | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:20 | 5 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 30:3 | 23 |
| 2 | Australia | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Indonesia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:20 | 12 |
| 5 | China | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 6 | Bahrain | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fourth stage)
