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Australia W vs New Zealand W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Central Coast Stadium (Polytec), Gosford
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sayer A.
Assist: Gorry K.
24' Event
Raso H.
58'
Sub
Longo A. In: Wisnewski G.
Out: Longo A.

AI Match Summary

Australia W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Australia W
17%
Draws
70%
New Zealand W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: New Zealand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand W haven't matched Australia W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Australia W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Australia W Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Australia W New Zealand W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.38 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Australia W vs New Zealand W
2:0
Nov 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Australia W vs New Zealand W
5:0
Apr 12, 2022 Friendly International Women
Australia W vs New Zealand W
3:1
Apr 8, 2022 Friendly International Women
Australia W vs New Zealand W
2:1
Jul 21, 2021 Olympic Games Women
Australia W vs New Zealand W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Australia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sayer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raso H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

New Zealand W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Australia W 14 / 100
New Zealand W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Australia W New Zealand W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Australia W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

New Zealand W let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Australia W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Australia W VS New Zealand W
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Australia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1
Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
15 Apr
Kenya W
0 : 2
Australia W
11 Apr
Australia W
5 : 0
Malawi W
21 Mar
Japan W
1 : 0
Australia W
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New Zealand W

(Away)
09 Jun
New Zealand W
0 : 0
Morocco W
05 Jun
New Zealand W
1 : 2
Haiti W
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
New Zealand W
5 : 0
Fiji W
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3
New Zealand W
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