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Austria U16 W vs Sweden U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austria U16 W play Sweden U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Austria U16 W averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Sweden U16 W averaged 1.66 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, Austria U16 W won 1, Sweden U16 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 22, 2025 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Austria U16 W and 2.08 for Sweden U16 W. This points to a Austria U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Austria U16 W
15%
Draws
31%
Sweden U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austria U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Austria U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Sweden U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 2.08 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Austria U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
Sweden U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria U16 W Sweden U16 W
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.17 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Sweden U16 W vs Austria U16 W
6:2
May 13, 2023 Friendly International Women
Austria U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Krassnig T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Sweden U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria U16 W 51 / 100
Sweden U16 W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria U16 W Sweden U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austria U16 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Austria U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Austria U16 W attacking → ← attacking Sweden U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria U16 W scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Sweden U16 W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Austria U16 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 26
1.33 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.17 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25