Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Schlager X.
31'
31'
Peretz E.
37'
37'
Sub
Gregoritsch M. In: Kalajdzic S.
Out: Gregoritsch M.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League game between Austria and Israel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Israel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Austria carry the better recent record into this one.
- Israel are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Austria Clean Sheet 20%
Israel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Austria | Israel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Austria vs Israel
3:1
Nov 12, 2021 World Championship
Austria vs Israel
4:2
Sep 4, 2021 World Championship
Israel vs Austria
5:2
Oct 10, 2019 Euro
Austria vs Israel
3:1
Mar 24, 2019 Euro
Israel vs Austria
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Austria Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwene P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kalajdzic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Israel Compare
Top Goalscorer Abu Farkhi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Austria 28 / 100
Israel 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Austria Israel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Israel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Austria found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.
Israel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Austria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Austria VS Israel
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Austria
(Home) 24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1 Israel
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0 Austria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3 Austria
22 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0 Austria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1 Jordan
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1 Israel
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1 Jordan
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0 Tunisia
31 Mar
Austria
1 : 0 South Korea
27 Mar
Austria
5 : 1 Ghana
Page 1 of 3
Israel
(Away) 24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1 Israel
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Israel
26 Mar
Georgia
2 : 2 Israel
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1 Moldova
13 Nov
Lithuania
0 : 0 Israel
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1 Israel
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Israel
26 Mar
Georgia
2 : 2 Israel
13 Nov
Lithuania
0 : 0 Israel
14 Oct
Italy
3 : 0 Israel
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hungary | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ireland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Israel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Poland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Romania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
