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Austria vs Kosovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Ernst Happel Stadion, Vienna
Austria Logo

Austria

3 - 1
FT
Kosovo Logo

Kosovo

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Danso K.
22'
Raci R.
23' Event
Affengruber D.
Assist: Schmid R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Austria and Kosovo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Austria
35%
Draws
32%
Kosovo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Austria's 2.17 goals per match outpaces what Kosovo have produced (1.47).
  • Win probability leans Austria's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Austria Clean Sheet 20%
Kosovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Kosovo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Kosovo vs Austria
1:1
Sep 27, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Austria vs Kosovo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Affengruber D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adamu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kosovo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria 42 / 100
Kosovo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Kosovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Kosovo let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Austria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austria VS Kosovo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria

(Home)
04 Oct
Kosovo
1 : 1
Austria
01 Oct
Ireland
2 : 2
Austria
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Israel
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
Page 1 of 6

Kosovo

(Away)
04 Oct
Kosovo
1 : 1
Austria
01 Oct
Israel
0 : 0
Kosovo
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)