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Austria vs Serbia

World World

Friendly International 2024 Ernst Happel Stadion, Vienna
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Arnautovic M.
10' Event
Wimmer P.
Assist: Baumgartner C.
13' Event
Baumgartner C.
Assist: Grillitsch F.

AI Match Summary

Austria in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Austria
15%
Draws
39%
Serbia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Austria have won more games recently than Serbia.
  • Model gives Austria a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Austria Clean Sheet 68%
Serbia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Serbia
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.11 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Austria
2:0
Mar 20, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Austria vs Serbia
1:1
Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International
Austria vs Serbia
2:1
Oct 6, 2017 World Championship
Austria vs Serbia
3:2
Oct 9, 2016 World Championship
Serbia vs Austria
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Wimmer P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baumgartner C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Serbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria 86 / 100
Serbia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Serbia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Serbia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Austria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Austria VS Serbia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Austria

(Home)
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
22 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Austria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
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Serbia

(Away)
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
31 May
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Serbia
31 Mar
Serbia
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia
27 Mar
Spain
3 : 0
Serbia
16 Nov
Serbia
2 : 1
Latvia
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