Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Generali Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austria Vienna play Rapid Vienna in the Bundesliga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Austria Vienna averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Rapid Vienna averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Austria Vienna won 3, Rapid Vienna won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Austria Vienna and 1.19 for Rapid Vienna. This points to a Austria Vienna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Austria Vienna
24%
Draws
34%
Rapid Vienna
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Austria Vienna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Austria Vienna picked up more points recently compared to Rapid Vienna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Austria Vienna Clean Sheet 20%
Rapid Vienna Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austria Vienna Rapid Vienna
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs Austria Vienna
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Bundesliga
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Bundesliga
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs Austria Vienna
1:3
May 11, 2025 Bundesliga
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austria Vienna Compare

Top Goalscorer Boateng K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rapid Vienna Compare

Top Goalscorer Kara E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austria Vienna 42 / 100
Rapid Vienna 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austria Vienna Rapid Vienna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Austria Vienna or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Austria Vienna attacking → ← attacking Rapid Vienna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria Vienna scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Rapid Vienna let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Austria Vienna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rapid Vienna lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 38
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1LASK Linz32177856:4239
2Sturm Graz32168851:3537
3Salzburg321391056:4129
4Austria Vienna321451345:5029
5Rapid Vienna321281236:4127
6Hartberg3210121040:4025