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Autol vs Agoncillo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
El Ouardi E.
90' Event
Peso A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Autol and Agoncillo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agoncillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Autol
35%
Draws
32%
Agoncillo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Autol haven't matched Agoncillo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Agoncillo a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Autol Clean Sheet 10%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Autol Agoncillo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.47 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Agoncillo
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Autol
3:2
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Agoncillo
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Autol
0:1
Feb 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Autol
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Autol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Agoncillo Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ouardi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Autol 10 / 100
Agoncillo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Autol Agoncillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agoncillo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Agoncillo conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Autol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Autol scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Autol VS Agoncillo
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Autol

(Home)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Autol
0 : 0
Oyonesa
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
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Agoncillo

(Away)
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)