Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Autol vs Berceo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Rodriguez I.
39' Event
Miranda D.
58' Event
Miranda D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Autol and Berceo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Autol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Autol
20%
Draws
44%
Berceo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Autol haven't matched Berceo's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Berceo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Autol Clean Sheet 10%
Berceo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Autol Berceo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.47 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Berceo
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Autol
5:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Berceo
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Autol
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Berceo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Autol Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Autol 10 / 100
Berceo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Autol Berceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berceo has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Autol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Berceo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Autol VS Berceo
0.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Autol

(Home)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Autol
0 : 0
Oyonesa
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

Berceo

(Away)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2
UD Logrones B
19 Apr
Oyonesa
3 : 0
Berceo
12 Apr
Berceo
4 : 1
Pradejon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)