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Auxerre II vs Bourg Peronnas

France France

National 2 - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auxerre II play Bourg Peronnas in the National 2 - Group D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Auxerre II averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Bourg Peronnas averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, Auxerre II won 2, Bourg Peronnas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Auxerre II and 0.86 for Bourg Peronnas. This points to a Auxerre II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Auxerre II
19%
Draws
36%
Bourg Peronnas
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Auxerre II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Auxerre II picked up more points recently compared to Bourg Peronnas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Auxerre II Clean Sheet 25%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre II Bourg Peronnas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Auxerre II vs Bourg Peronnas
2:0
Jan 13, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Bourg Peronnas vs Auxerre II
0:1
Apr 29, 2011 National 2 - Group B
Bourg Peronnas vs Auxerre II
2:1
Dec 12, 2010 National 2 - Group B
Auxerre II vs Bourg Peronnas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mary T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mandengue R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Bourg Peronnas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre II 46 / 100
Bourg Peronnas 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre II Bourg Peronnas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Auxerre II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Auxerre II attacking → ← attacking Bourg Peronnas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre II scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Bourg Peronnas let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Auxerre II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bourg Peronnas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 35
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bourg Peronnas26165548:2550
2Fleury-Merogis26137644:2146
3Furiani Agliani261013331:1843
4FC Bobigny 93261012439:3042
5Creteil26107930:2937
6Biesheim2698929:3435
7Wasquehal26971035:3934
8Feignies-Aulnoye26971028:3234
9Haguenau26951232:4732
10Colmar26941335:4131
11Auxerre II26861232:3230
12Macon266101034:3728
13Besancon RC26671326:3425
14St Quentin26661437:6124