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Auxerre II vs St Quentin

France France

National 2 - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Adekalom N.
49' Event
Mandengue R.
54' Event
Mary T.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group D game between Auxerre II and St Quentin finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auxerre II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Auxerre II
15%
Draws
34%
St Quentin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • St Quentin haven't matched Auxerre II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Auxerre II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Auxerre II Clean Sheet 17%
St Quentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre II St Quentin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Auxerre II vs St Quentin
5:0
Dec 2, 2023 National 2 - Group D
St Quentin vs Auxerre II
1:1
Mar 26, 2022 National 1 - Group B
Auxerre II vs St Quentin
1:0
Oct 9, 2021 National 1 - Group B
St Quentin vs Auxerre II
2:0
Jan 23, 2021 National 1 - Group B
St Quentin vs Auxerre II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandengue R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adekalom N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

St Quentin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre II 84 / 100
St Quentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre II St Quentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Quentin let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Auxerre II scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: St Quentin registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre II VS St Quentin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre II

(Home)
18 May
Colmar
1 : 0
Auxerre II
11 May
Auxerre II
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
27 Apr
Furiani Agliani
2 : 0
Auxerre II
20 Apr
Auxerre II
5 : 0
St Quentin
13 Apr
Fleury-Merogis
3 : 1
Auxerre II
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St Quentin

(Away)
18 May
Bourg Peronnas
5 : 3
St Quentin
11 May
St Quentin
1 : 1
Furiani Agliani
27 Apr
Fleury-Merogis
3 : 1
St Quentin
20 Apr
Auxerre II
5 : 0
St Quentin
13 Apr
St Quentin
2 : 0
Wasquehal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bourg Peronnas 26 16 5 5 48:25 50
2 Fleury-Merogis 26 13 7 6 44:21 46
3 Furiani Agliani 26 10 13 3 31:18 43
4 FC Bobigny 93 26 10 12 4 39:30 42
5 Creteil 26 10 7 9 30:29 37
6 Biesheim 26 9 8 9 29:34 35
7 Wasquehal 26 9 7 10 35:39 34
8 Feignies-Aulnoye 26 9 7 10 28:32 34
9 Haguenau 26 9 5 12 32:47 32
10 Colmar 26 9 4 13 35:41 31
11 Auxerre II 26 8 6 12 32:32 30
12 Macon 26 6 10 10 34:37 28
13 Besancon RC 26 6 7 13 26:34 25
14 St Quentin 26 6 6 14 37:61 24
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