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Auxerre vs Angers

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auxerre host Angers in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Auxerre have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Angers's 1.14 scored and 1.54 conceded. Head-to-head, Auxerre have won 3 to Angers's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Auxerre. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Auxerre
20%
Draws
48%
Angers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Angers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Angers have won more games recently than Auxerre.
  • Model gives Auxerre a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 18%
Angers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Angers
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Auxerre
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Auxerre
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Ligue 2
Auxerre vs Angers
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 36 / 100
Angers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Angers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Angers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Auxerre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Angers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1
Auxerre
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1
Troyes
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1
Auxerre
25 Jul
Auxerre
1 : 2
Orleans
18 Jul
Auxerre
5 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
Page 1 of 5

Angers

(Away)
15 Aug
Angers
3 : 2
Paris FC
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
01 Aug
Angers
2 : 3
Le Mans
25 Jul
Angers
2 : 1
Creteil
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Auxerre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Le Havre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Le Mans 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Lille 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Lorient 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Nice 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 PSG 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Angers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Brest 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Troyes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Paris FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Toulouse 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Lens 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Rennes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Lyon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)