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Auxerre vs Angers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
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Match Events

5' Event
van den Boomen B.
28'
van den Boomen B.
35' Event
Labeau Lascary R.
Assist: Faivre R.

AI Match Summary

Angers in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Angers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Auxerre
15%
Draws
37%
Angers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Auxerre have won more games recently than Angers.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 14%
Angers Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Angers
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
1:3
May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Auxerre
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Auxerre
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Labeau Lascary R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Angers Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Boomen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djibirin H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 31 / 100
Angers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Angers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Angers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Auxerre stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Angers
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
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Angers

(Away)
19 Sept
Angers
2 : 0
Troyes
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 4 2 0 10:5 14
2 Lille 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Lyon 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
4 Paris FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
5 PSG 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
6 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
7 Brest 6 2 2 2 12:9 8
8 Lorient 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
9 Lens 6 2 1 3 11:10 7
10 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
11 Angers 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 Le Mans 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
13 Toulouse 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
14 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
15 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)