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Auxerre vs Clermont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Faivre R.
50' Event
Archer C.
53' Event
Archer C.

AI Match Summary

Auxerre in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auxerre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Auxerre
35%
Draws
20%
Clermont
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auxerre lately — more wins on the board than Clermont.
  • Win probability leans Auxerre's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 19%
Clermont Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Clermont
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 13
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.54 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Clermont vs Auxerre
2:3
May 7, 2023 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Clermont
1:1
Oct 9, 2022 Ligue 1
Clermont vs Auxerre
2:1
Jan 23, 2021 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Auxerre
1:0
Sep 12, 2020 Ligue 2
Auxerre vs Clermont
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Archer C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Faivre R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Clermont Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantero E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 42 / 100
Clermont 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Clermont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Clermont let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Auxerre stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Clermont
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
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Clermont

(Away)
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
18 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 1
Clermont
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Clermont
0 : 0
Sochaux
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