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Auxerre vs Paris FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auxerre host Paris FC in the Ligue 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Paris FC have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Auxerre have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Auxerre have won 2 to Paris FC's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.06) point toward Auxerre. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Auxerre
20%
Draws
33%
Paris FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Auxerre haven't matched Paris FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Auxerre's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Paris FC
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Paris FC vs Auxerre
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Paris FC
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Auxerre
1:1
May 4, 2024 Ligue 2
Auxerre vs Paris FC
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 Ligue 2
Paris FC vs Auxerre
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 40 / 100
Paris FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Paris FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Paris FC let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Auxerre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Paris FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
25 Oct
Auxerre
1 : 1
Le Mans
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
11 Oct
Rennes
4 : 1
Auxerre
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
Page 1 of 6

Paris FC

(Away)
24 Oct
Lens
2 : 1
Paris FC
18 Oct
Paris FC
4 : 3
Rennes
10 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Paris FC
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
4 Monaco 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Paris FC 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
8 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
9 Marseille 8 4 0 4 18:13 12
10 Lorient 8 3 3 2 7:6 12
11 Toulouse 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Auxerre 8 3 1 4 12:18 10
13 Brest 8 2 3 3 14:12 9
14 Angers 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
15 Le Mans 8 1 4 3 11:16 7
16 Strasbourg 8 2 1 5 12:18 7
17 Troyes 8 1 2 5 5:16 5
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)