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Auxerre vs Rennes

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sinayoko L.
20' Event
Camara M.
22' Event
Lepaul E.
Assist: Szymanski S.

AI Match Summary

Rennes in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rennes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Auxerre
6%
Draws
4%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rennes have won more games recently than Auxerre.
  • Win probability leans Auxerre's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 68%
Rennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Rennes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 18
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Rennes
0:3
Oct 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Auxerre
2:2
Apr 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Auxerre
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Rennes
4:0
Mar 11, 2023 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Rennes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lepaul E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 95 / 100
Rennes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Auxerre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Rennes has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Rennes
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
18 Jul
Auxerre
5 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
17 May
Lille
0 : 2
Auxerre
10 May
Auxerre
2 : 1
Nice
03 May
Auxerre
3 : 1
Angers
25 Apr
Lyon
3 : 2
Auxerre
Page 1 of 6

Rennes

(Away)
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 Jul
Rennes
1 : 2
Caen
17 May
Marseille
3 : 1
Rennes
10 May
Rennes
2 : 1
Paris FC
03 May
Lyon
4 : 2
Rennes
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)