Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Auxerre vs St. Maur Lusitanos

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bair T.
24' Event
Bair T.
48' Event
Zossou A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Auxerre and St. Maur Lusitanos finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auxerre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Auxerre
20%
Draws
52%
St. Maur Lusitanos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Maur Lusitanos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Maur Lusitanos's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 20%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre St. Maur Lusitanos
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.31 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Auxerre vs St. Maur Lusitanos
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Bair T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zossou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 16 / 100
St. Maur Lusitanos 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre St. Maur Lusitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Auxerre's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: St. Maur Lusitanos conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Auxerre remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS St. Maur Lusitanos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1
Auxerre
Page 1 of 6

St. Maur Lusitanos

(Away)
19 Sept
Racing Club de France
0 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
05 Sept
USLPV
1 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
22 Aug
Biesheim
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
Page 1 of 6