Sport Picks
Auxerre vs Strasbourg
France
Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre 
Match Events
11'
11'
El Mourabet S.
43'
43'
Mensah G.
46'
46'
Sub
Yassine G. In: Amo-Ameyaw S.
Out: Yassine G.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Auxerre and Strasbourg finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strasbourg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Strasbourg come out ahead of Auxerre on wins alone.
- Strasbourg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Strasbourg have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 19%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Auxerre | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Strasbourg
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Auxerre
3:0
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Strasbourg
0:1
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Auxerre
3:1
Mar 19, 2023 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Auxerre
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Auxerre 24 / 100
Strasbourg 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Auxerre Strasbourg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Strasbourg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Strasbourg has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Auxerre found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Auxerre has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Auxerre VS Strasbourg
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Auxerre
(Home) 04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1 Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3 Angers
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2 Auxerre
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1 Troyes
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3 Angers
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1 Troyes
25 Jul
Auxerre
1 : 2 Orleans
18 Jul
Auxerre
5 : 2 St. Maur Lusitanos
10 May
Auxerre
2 : 1 Nice
Page 1 of 3
Strasbourg
(Away) 06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6 Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6 Strasbourg
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
