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Auxerre vs Troyes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Dioubate L.
68' Event
Ripart R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Auxerre
30%
Draws
29%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Troyes have won more games recently than Auxerre.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auxerre here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 16%
Troyes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre Troyes
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.81 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Auxerre vs Troyes
1:1
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Troyes vs Auxerre
1:2
Apr 8, 2024 Ligue 2
Auxerre vs Troyes
2:0
Sep 23, 2023 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Auxerre
1:2
Apr 1, 2023 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Troyes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Dioubate L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripart R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre 31 / 100
Troyes 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auxerre scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Troyes let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Auxerre remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre VS Troyes
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre

(Home)
01 Nov
Strasbourg
5 : 1
Auxerre
25 Oct
Auxerre
1 : 1
Le Mans
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
11 Oct
Rennes
4 : 1
Auxerre
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
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Troyes

(Away)
31 Oct
Troyes
2 : 0
Le Mans
25 Oct
Toulouse
0 : 0
Troyes
17 Oct
Troyes
1 : 3
Lens
11 Oct
Troyes
0 : 2
Marseille
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
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