Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Auxerre W vs Dijon W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dijon W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Auxerre W
15%
Draws
42%
Dijon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Dijon W have won more games recently than Auxerre W.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Auxerre W taking it.
  • Dijon W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dijon W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 20%
Dijon W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre W Dijon W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.65 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Dijon W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre W 67 / 100
Dijon W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre W Dijon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Dijon W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Auxerre W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre W VS Dijon W
1 Goals Scored 0.8
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.4
63% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre W

(Home)
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
28 Aug
Auxerre W
1 : 2
Strasbourg W
22 Aug
Metz W
2 : 4
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 7

Dijon W

(Away)
06 May
Marseille W
0 : 1
Dijon W
25 Apr
Dijon W
1 : 2
Paris FC W
22 Apr
OL Lyonnes W
4 : 0
Dijon W
28 Mar
Dijon W
2 : 1
Le Havre W
22 Mar
Lens W
0 : 1
Dijon W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)