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Auxerre W vs Le Mans W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auxerre W host Le Mans W in the Seconde Ligue Women. This one's hard to separate. Le Mans W have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Auxerre W have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.6. Head-to-head, Auxerre W have won 1 to Le Mans W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.81, favoring Le Mans W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Auxerre W
15%
Draws
45%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Le Mans W lately — more wins on the board than Auxerre W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 11%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre W Le Mans W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Auxerre W
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Le Mans W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre W 30 / 100
Le Mans W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Auxerre W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Le Mans W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre W VS Le Mans W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre W

(Home)
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 6

Le Mans W

(Away)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)