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Auxerre W vs Lens W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Auxerre W Logo

Auxerre W

Sat, Sep 26, 2026
1 - 0
01:00 PM
Lens W Logo

Lens W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Auxerre W
15%
Draws
8%
Lens W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Auxerre W have won more games recently than Lens W.
  • Model gives Auxerre W a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Auxerre W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Auxerre W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 10%
Lens W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auxerre W Lens W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Lens W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auxerre W 83 / 100
Lens W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auxerre W Lens W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lens W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Auxerre W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lens W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auxerre W VS Lens W
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auxerre W

(Home)
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
Page 1 of 6

Lens W

(Away)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Lens W 3 2 0 1 5:1 7
3 St Etienne W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Strasbourg W 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Saint-Malo W 2 2 0 0 4:1 5
6 Auxerre W 2 2 0 0 4:2 5
7 Thonon Evian W 3 2 0 1 6:10 5
8 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Le Mans W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
10 Fleury 91 W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
11 Roubaix W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Montpellier W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Le Havre W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
14 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Nice W 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
16 Lille W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
17 Cannes W 2 0 0 2 4:7 1
18 Bourges 18 W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Toulouse W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)