Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup Lancaster Municipal Stadium

Match Events

27'

Brewitt T.

Assist: Hegardt C.

33'

Lay O.

40'

Sub

Lay O. In: Villalobos J.

Out: Lay O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AV Alta FC play Orange County SC in the USL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, AV Alta FC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Orange County SC averaged 2 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, AV Alta FC won 2, Orange County SC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for AV Alta FC and 1.31 for Orange County SC. This points to a AV Alta FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

AV Alta FC

17%

Draws

13%

Orange County SC

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: AV Alta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Orange County SC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to AV Alta FC.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for AV Alta FC.
League standings and seasonal metrics in USL Cup provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 18%

Orange County SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AV Alta FC	Orange County SC
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	8	11
Draws	10	10
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.5	2
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 USL Cup

AV Alta FC vs Orange County SC

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Apr 16, 2025 US Open Cup

AV Alta FC vs Orange County SC

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

3:2

Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly

Orange County SC vs AV Alta FC

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aoumaich I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Orange County SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Brewitt T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AV Alta FC 67 / 100

Orange County SC 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AV Alta FC Orange County SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AV Alta FC scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Orange County SC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

AV Alta FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Orange County SC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AV Alta FC VS Orange County SC

1.5 Goals Scored 2

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Sacramento Republic	3	3	0	7:1	8
2	Spokane Velocity	3	2	1	3:5	6
3	Athletic Club Boise	3	2	1	7:6	5
4	Oakland Roots	3	1	2	3:3	4
5	Monterey Bay	3	1	2	6:7	3
6	Las Vegas Lights	3	0	3	1:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Colorado Springs	3	3	0	7:1	9
2	El Paso Locomotive	3	2	1	5:3	6
3	New Mexico	3	2	1	6:5	6
4	AV Alta FC	3	1	2	3:5	3
5	Phoenix Rising	3	1	2	2:6	3
6	Orange County SC	3	0	3	3:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Antonio FC	3	3	0	4:1	8
2	Birmingham Legion	3	2	1	5:2	6
3	One Knoxville	3	2	1	4:3	4
4	FC Tulsa	3	1	2	3:4	4
5	Corpus Christi FC	3	1	2	1:4	3
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3	0	3	2:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Louisville City	3	3	0	9:2	8
2	Indy Eleven	4	3	1	7:4	7
3	Lexington	3	2	1	6:4	6
4	Union Omaha	3	2	1	7:8	6
5	Detroit City	3	1	2	2:3	5
6	Fort Wayne	3	0	3	5:10	1
7	Forward Madison	3	0	3	2:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Hartford Athletic	3	2	1	6:2	7
2	Brooklyn FC	3	2	1	8:3	6
3	Rhode Island	3	2	1	5:2	5
4	Portland Hearts of Pine	3	1	2	5:9	4
5	New York Cosmos	3	1	2	4:9	3
6	Westchester SC	3	1	2	5:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Charleston	3	3	0	7:1	8
2	Charlotte Independence	3	3	0	5:2	8
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3	1	2	4:3	5
4	Loudoun United	3	1	2	4:5	3
5	Greenville Triumph	3	1	2	3:5	3
6	Richmond Kickers	3	0	3	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	3	3	0	8:1	9
2	Miami FC	3	2	1	6:5	6
3	Sporting Jax	4	1	3	3:5	4
4	Sarasota Paradise	3	1	2	2:4	3
5	FC Naples	3	1	2	3:7	2