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Stadium Background

Avai B vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019 Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Avai B Logo

Avai B

3 - 2
FT
Fluminense-SC Logo

Fluminense-SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Avai B in this Copa Santa Catarina 2019 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Avai B
20%
Draws
51%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense-SC lately — more wins on the board than Avai B.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Fluminense-SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Avai B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Avai B Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai B Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Avai B
4:4
Oct 2, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Fluminense-SC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai B 32 / 100
Fluminense-SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai B Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Avai B's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Avai B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fluminense-SC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai B

(Home)
10 Nov
Marcilio Dias
4 : 1
Avai B
05 Nov
Avai B
1 : 0
Marcilio Dias
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Marcilio Dias
1 : 0
Avai B
23 Oct
Avai B
0 : 2
Tubarao
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Fluminense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)