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Avai Kindermann W vs Marcilio Dias W

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Catarinense Women 2024 Estádio Carlos Alberto Costa Neves
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avai Kindermann W play Marcilio Dias W in the Catarinense Women 2024. Avai Kindermann W are favorites here. Recently, Avai Kindermann W averaged 3.55 goals scored and 1 conceded. Marcilio Dias W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Avai Kindermann W won 4, Marcilio Dias W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Avai Kindermann W and 1.25 for Marcilio Dias W. This points to a Avai Kindermann W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Avai Kindermann W
15%
Draws
20%
Marcilio Dias W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai Kindermann W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Avai Kindermann W picked up more points recently compared to Marcilio Dias W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Avai Kindermann W Clean Sheet 19%
Marcilio Dias W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Kindermann W Marcilio Dias W
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 20 7
Draws 2 1
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 3.55 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Catarinense Women
Avai Kindermann W vs Marcilio Dias W
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Catarinense Women
Marcilio Dias W vs Avai Kindermann W
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Catarinense Women
Avai Kindermann W vs Marcilio Dias W
3:1
Oct 10, 2024 Catarinense Women
Marcilio Dias W vs Avai Kindermann W
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai Kindermann W 62 / 100
Marcilio Dias W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Kindermann W Marcilio Dias W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai Kindermann W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Avai Kindermann W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Avai Kindermann W attacking → ← attacking Marcilio Dias W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai Kindermann W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Marcilio Dias W let in goals in 69% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Avai Kindermann W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Marcilio Dias W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 22
4.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00