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Avai vs Botafogo SP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avai host Botafogo SP in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Avai have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Botafogo SP's 1.03 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Avai have won 2 to Botafogo SP's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 6, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.31) point toward Botafogo SP. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Avai
15%
Draws
54%
Botafogo SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Avai average 1.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Botafogo SP's 1.03.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo SP taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Avai Clean Sheet 18%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Botafogo SP
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Avai
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Avai
0:0
Jul 28, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Botafogo SP
5:0
Nov 19, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Avai
1:3
Jul 31, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs Botafogo SP
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 23 / 100
Botafogo SP 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Botafogo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Botafogo SP conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Avai remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Botafogo SP
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
18 Oct
Avai
0 : 0
Athletic Club
11 Oct
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Avai
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo SP

(Away)
18 Oct
CRB
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
13 Oct
Botafogo SP
1 : 0
Ceara
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2
Botafogo SP
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 34 18 8 8 48:33 62
2 Novorizontino 34 17 10 7 61:30 61
3 EC Juventude 34 17 10 7 41:23 61
4 Fortaleza 34 16 12 6 41:29 60
5 Criciuma 34 17 8 9 35:28 59
6 Atletico GO 34 14 12 8 42:32 54
7 CRB 34 15 7 12 51:48 52
8 Sport Recife 34 13 12 9 45:37 51
9 Goias 34 14 7 13 34:40 49
10 Operario-PR 34 13 9 12 44:46 48
11 Cuiaba 33 11 14 8 32:26 47
12 Sao Bernardo 34 12 10 12 46:37 46
13 Botafogo SP 34 12 8 14 38:38 44
14 Athletic Club 34 10 14 10 40:39 44
15 Nautico 34 11 10 13 39:42 43
16 Ceara 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
17 Avai 34 10 7 17 33:43 37
18 Londrina 33 7 8 18 42:49 29
19 America MG 34 5 5 24 22:54 20
20 Ponte Preta 34 3 5 26 19:74 14
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)