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Avai vs Cianorte

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Avai Logo

Avai

2 - 2
FT
Cianorte Logo

Cianorte

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Wesley Gasolina
46'
Sub
Hyan In: Thayllon
Out: Hyan
46'
Sub
Wesley Gasolina In: Wallison
Out: Wesley Gasolina
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Avai
30%
Draws
29%
Cianorte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cianorte lately — more wins on the board than Avai.
  • Model gives Avai a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Cianorte arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Avai Clean Sheet 17%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Cianorte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Avai vs Cianorte
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jean L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cianorte Compare

Top Goalscorer David Kaua
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hiago Monteiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 36 / 100
Cianorte 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Cianorte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Avai found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Cianorte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Avai stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Cianorte
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
11 Aug
Avai
0 : 1
CRB
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Avai
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1
America MG
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0
Nautico
Page 1 of 6

Cianorte

(Away)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)