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Avai vs Nautico

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Douglas Teixeira
Assist: Wallison
46'
Sub
Leonai Souza In: Reginaldo
Out: Leonai Souza
46'
Sub
Derek In: Kauan Maranhao
Out: Derek

AI Match Summary

Avai in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Avai
22%
Draws
18%
Nautico
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Avai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nautico lately — more wins on the board than Avai.
  • Avai are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Avai have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Avai Clean Sheet 68%
Nautico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Nautico
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Nautico
2:0
Nov 21, 2021 Serie B
Nautico vs Avai
1:2
Aug 14, 2021 Serie B
Avai vs Nautico
2:0
Nov 6, 2020 Serie B
Nautico vs Avai
2:2
Aug 8, 2020 Serie B
Avai vs Nautico
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Teixeira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel Penha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nautico Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 68 / 100
Nautico 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Nautico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Nautico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Avai remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Nautico
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Avai
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1
America MG
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0
Nautico
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 7

Nautico

(Away)
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1
Nautico
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0
Nautico
05 Jul
Nautico
0 : 0
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Fortaleza20104623:1934
5Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
6Novorizontino2096532:1933
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP2066824:2124
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)