Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Douglas Teixeira
Assist: Wallison
46'
46'
Sub
Leonai Souza In: Reginaldo
Out: Leonai Souza
46'
46'
Sub
Derek In: Kauan Maranhao
Out: Derek
AI Match Summary
Avai in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avai.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nautico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Avai average 1.24 goals a game right now, well clear of Nautico's 1.21.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Avai have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Avai Clean Sheet 19%
Nautico Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avai | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Nautico
2:0
Nov 21, 2021 Serie B
Nautico vs Avai
1:2
Aug 14, 2021 Serie B
Avai vs Nautico
2:0
Nov 6, 2020 Serie B
Nautico vs Avai
2:2
Aug 8, 2020 Serie B
Avai vs Nautico
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avai Compare
Top Goalscorer Douglas Teixeira
1 Goals Assists Leader Daniel Penha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Nautico Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avai 36 / 100
Nautico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avai Nautico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nautico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avai scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Nautico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Avai remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Avai VS Nautico
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Avai
(Home) 20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1 Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1 Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1 Atletico GO
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1 Vila Nova FC
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1 Atletico GO
19 Aug
Avai
2 : 1 Sport Recife
11 Aug
Avai
0 : 1 CRB
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1 America MG
Page 1 of 3
Nautico
(Away) 22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3 Operario-PR
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
23 Aug
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1 Nautico
14 Aug
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Nautico
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0 Nautico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 50 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 47 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 46 |
| 7 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 10 | Goias | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 41 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 40 |
| 14 | Nautico | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
