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Avai vs Sao Bernardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada), Florianópolis
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avai host Sao Bernardo in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sao Bernardo have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Avai have conceded 1.29 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Avai slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.25) point toward Sao Bernardo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Avai
20%
Draws
40%
Sao Bernardo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Bernardo's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Avai have produced (0.97).
  • Win probability leans Avai's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Avai Clean Sheet 19%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avai Sao Bernardo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Avai
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avai 36 / 100
Sao Bernardo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avai Sao Bernardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sao Bernardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Avai has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avai VS Sao Bernardo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avai

(Home)
31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0
Avai
24 Oct
Avai
0 : 2
Botafogo SP
18 Oct
Avai
0 : 0
Athletic Club
11 Oct
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Avai
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
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Sao Bernardo

(Away)
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2
Sao Bernardo
24 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 2
Vila Nova FC
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Criciuma
11 Oct
EC Juventude
2 : 2
Sao Bernardo
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)