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Avarta vs Sundby

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Karlsen O.
86' Event
Lazarevic A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3rd Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Avarta
15%
Draws
42%
Sundby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sundby have won more games recently than Avarta.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Avarta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sundby have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Avarta Clean Sheet 15%
Sundby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avarta Sundby
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 12 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 3rd Division
Avarta vs Sundby
1:1
May 14, 2025 3rd Division
Sundby vs Avarta
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 3rd Division
Avarta vs Sundby
1:2
Oct 4, 2024 3rd Division
Sundby vs Avarta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avarta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Sundby Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avarta 48 / 100
Sundby 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avarta Sundby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avarta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avarta found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Sundby let in goals in 74% of their last 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sundby lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avarta VS Sundby
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Avarta

(Home)
25 Aug
Avarta
0 : 4
Hillerod
04 Aug
Gentofte-Vangede
0 : 2
Avarta
22 Jul
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Avarta
05 Aug
Raklev
2 : 0
Avarta
14 Jun
Young Boys FD
0 : 1
Avarta
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Sundby

(Away)
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Helsingor
2 : 1
Sundby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7
Midtjylland
05 Sept
Sundby
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
29 Aug
Ringsted
2 : 0
Sundby
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