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Aveley vs Braintree

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Henshaw R.
19' Event
Adams F.
35' Event
Lewis A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Aveley and Braintree finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aveley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Aveley
15%
Draws
53%
Braintree
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Braintree

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Braintree haven't matched Aveley's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aveley taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Aveley Clean Sheet 12%
Braintree Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Braintree
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 2.1 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Aveley vs Braintree
3:2
Dec 16, 2023 National League South
Braintree vs Aveley
1:0
Sep 23, 2023 National League South
Aveley vs Braintree
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Henshaw R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Armin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 40 / 100
Braintree 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Braintree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Braintree conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Aveley went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Braintree
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
04 Sept
Aveley
4 : 2
Cheshunt
31 Aug
Stanway Rovers
0 : 2
Aveley
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Braintree

(Away)
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3
Braintree
15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2
Braintree
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
05 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 2
Braintree
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