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Aveley vs Carshalton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Palmer G.
53' Event
Critchley H.
90' Event
Toure S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Aveley
15%
Draws
7%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aveley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Carshalton haven't matched Aveley's recent run of results.
  • Aveley are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Aveley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aveley, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aveley Clean Sheet 14%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Carshalton
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 FA Trophy
Aveley vs Carshalton
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Carshalton
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Aveley
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Carshalton
0:0
Oct 10, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Aveley
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmer G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Critchley H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 75 / 100
Carshalton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aveley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Carshalton let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Aveley has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Carshalton has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Carshalton
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
02 Nov
Aveley
1 : 0
St. Albans
31 Oct
Aveley
4 : 3
Dartford
24 Oct
Aveley
2 : 1
Carshalton
19 Oct
Aveley
1 : 2
Maldon & Tiptree
17 Oct
Aveley
1 : 0
Chatham
Page 1 of 7

Carshalton

(Away)
31 Oct
Welling
4 : 0
Carshalton
24 Oct
Aveley
2 : 1
Carshalton
20 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 2
Carshalton
17 Oct
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 2
Carshalton
12 Oct
Carshalton
1 : 2
Enfield Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hebburn Town -
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Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 3
Ashton United 1
Redcar Athletic 0
Workington 3
Cleethorpes 2
Bridlington Town 3
Curzon Ashton 2
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Radcliffe -
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Marine -
Avro 2
Hyde 1
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Chester -
Darlington FC -
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Bury FC 3
Prescot Cables 0
Mickleover 1
Alfreton 2
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Southport -
Chorley -
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Buxton -
Worksop -
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South Shields -
Leek Town 4
Bootle 1
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Morecambe -
Bourne 1
Banbury 0
Anstey Nomads 0
Bromsgrove 1
Bedford -
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Needham Market 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
Deal Town 1
Hashtag 3
Braintree -
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Kettering 6
Quorn 2
King’s Lynn -
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Loughborough Students 0
Stourbridge 2
Evesham 0
Halesowen 4
Redditch 3
Gloucester City 2
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Faversham 0
Newmarket 1
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Billericay -
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Hastings 2
Waltham Abbey 3
Enfield Town 5
Hanworth Villa 1
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Dagenham & Red. -
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Aveley 2
Carshalton 1
Farnham -
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Folkestone -
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Berkhamsted Town 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Weymouth 3
Sholing 2
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Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford 3
Three Bridges 2
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Horsham FC -
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Torquay -
Didcot 2
Poole Town 1
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Whitehawk 4
St. Albans 3
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Tonbridge -
Taunton Town 1
Wimborne 4
Egham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Bath City 1
Frome Town 0
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Truro -
Leatherhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Takeley 0
Chertsey Town 4
Dover Ath. -
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Erith Town 3
Burgess Hill 4
Salisbury -
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1/64-finals
Hebburn Town -
Guiseley -
Ashton United -
Workington -
Bridlington Town -
Macclesfield -
Spennymoor -
Scarborough Athletic -
Radcliffe -
Marine -
Avro -
Chester -
Darlington FC -
Bury FC -
Alfreton -
Southport -
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Buxton -
Worksop -
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Leek Town -
Morecambe -
Bourne -
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Bedford -
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Braintree -
Kettering -
King’s Lynn -
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Redditch -
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Hemel Hempstead -
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Brackley -
Newmarket -
Oxford City -
Merthyr Town -
Harborough -
Billericay -
Waltham Abbey -
Enfield Town -
Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
Aveley -
Farnham -
Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
Cray Wanderers -
Weymouth -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford -
AFC Totton -
Horsham FC -
Torquay -
Didcot -
Slough Town -
Maidstone -
Maidenhead -
Whitehawk -
Tonbridge -
Wimborne -
Uxbridge -
Bath City -
Truro -
Eastbourne Borough -
Chertsey Town -
Dover Ath. -
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Salisbury -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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