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Aveley vs Cheshunt

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Aromolaran T.
26' Event
Nwabueze J.
47' Event
Aromolaran T.

AI Match Summary

Aveley in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aveley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aveley
20%
Draws
40%
Cheshunt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aveley have won more games recently than Cheshunt.
  • Model gives Aveley a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aveley Clean Sheet 16%
Cheshunt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Cheshunt
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.2 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Cheshunt
3:0
Feb 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cheshunt vs Aveley
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Cheshunt vs Aveley
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Aromolaran T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nwabueze J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Cheshunt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 41 / 100
Cheshunt 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Cheshunt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Cheshunt let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Aveley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Cheshunt
2.13 Goals Scored 0.83
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
75% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
08 Aug
Aveley
2 : 2
Eastbourne Borough
01 Aug
Southend
4 : 0
Aveley
31 Jul
Aveley
4 : 5
Tilbury
28 Jul
Canvey Island
1 : 4
Aveley
25 Jul
Brightlingsea
1 : 5
Aveley
Page 1 of 6

Cheshunt

(Away)
08 Aug
Cheshunt
0 : 0
Stanway Rovers
21 Jul
Cheshunt
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
25 Apr
Folkestone
5 : 3
Cheshunt
18 Apr
Cheshunt
0 : 1
Brentwood
11 Apr
Burgess Hill
1 : 3
Cheshunt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)