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Aveley vs Concord Rangers

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Peters O.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Trialist
84' Event
Suleyman Z.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Aveley and Concord Rangers finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aveley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Aveley
15%
Draws
31%
Concord Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aveley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Aveley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aveley a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 64%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%
Concord Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Concord Rangers
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 2.28 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Aveley vs Concord Rangers
4:0
Dec 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Aveley vs Concord Rangers
1:0
Jan 2, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
Concord Rangers vs Aveley
3:0
Aug 29, 2011 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Concord Rangers
3:3
Apr 22, 2011 Isthmian League Premier Division
Concord Rangers vs Aveley
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Suleyman Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Concord Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 56 / 100
Concord Rangers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Concord Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aveley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Concord Rangers has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Aveley went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Concord Rangers
2.38 Goals Scored 1.6
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 60%
88% Over 2.5 60%
88% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
04 Sept
Aveley
4 : 2
Cheshunt
31 Aug
Stanway Rovers
0 : 2
Aveley
29 Aug
Aveley
0 : 2
Lewes
22 Aug
Three Bridges
1 : 5
Aveley
15 Aug
Aveley
3 : 2
Whitehawk
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Concord Rangers

(Away)
08 Sept
Brentwood
4 : 2
Concord Rangers
05 Sept
Concord Rangers
0 : 0
Brentwood
29 Aug
Concord Rangers
2 : 1
FC Witham Town
25 Jul
Concord Rangers
4 : 0
Hastings
06 Sept
Concord Rangers
2 : 3
Biggleswade FC
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