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Aveley vs Leatherhead

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Saunders G.
45' Event
Igozouln A.
67' Event
Igozouln A.

AI Match Summary

Leatherhead in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leatherhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Aveley
15%
Draws
53%
Leatherhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leatherhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Aveley have won more games recently than Leatherhead.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leatherhead here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aveley Clean Sheet 11%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Leatherhead
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.28 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Leatherhead
1:2
Mar 31, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Aveley
2:0
Sep 3, 2011 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Leatherhead
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Saunders G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Leatherhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Igozouln A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 35 / 100
Leatherhead 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Leatherhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leatherhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Leatherhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aveley stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Leatherhead
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
04 Sept
Aveley
4 : 2
Cheshunt
31 Aug
Stanway Rovers
0 : 2
Aveley
29 Aug
Aveley
0 : 2
Lewes
Page 1 of 7

Leatherhead

(Away)
15 Sept
Leatherhead
0 : 0
Whyteleafe
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
05 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 0
Croydon Athletic
31 Aug
Leatherhead
2 : 3
Dulwich Hamlet
29 Aug
Eastbourne Borough
0 : 1
Leatherhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Lewes 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
5 Carshalton 8 5 0 3 12:11 15
6 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
7 Leatherhead 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 6 3 0 3 9:13 9
17 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
18 Cheshunt 8 0 5 3 4:11 5
19 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
20 Three Bridges 8 1 1 6 13:25 4
21 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
22 Brentwood 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)