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Aveley vs Leatherhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Saunders G.
45' Event
Igozouln A.
67' Event
Igozouln A.

AI Match Summary

Leatherhead in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leatherhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aveley
15%
Draws
28%
Leatherhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aveley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Leatherhead have won more games recently than Aveley.
  • Aveley are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leatherhead here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Leatherhead
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2.13 2.24
Goals Conceded 2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Leatherhead
1:2
Mar 31, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Aveley
2:0
Sep 3, 2011 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Leatherhead
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Saunders G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Leatherhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Igozouln A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 38 / 100
Leatherhead 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Leatherhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aveley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Leatherhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aveley stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Leatherhead
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
02 Nov
Aveley
1 : 0
St. Albans
31 Oct
Aveley
4 : 3
Dartford
24 Oct
Aveley
2 : 1
Carshalton
19 Oct
Aveley
1 : 2
Maldon & Tiptree
17 Oct
Aveley
1 : 0
Chatham
Page 1 of 6

Leatherhead

(Away)
03 Nov
Brentwood
1 : 2
Leatherhead
31 Oct
Leatherhead
7 : 2
Stanway Rovers
27 Oct
Welling
1 : 0
Leatherhead
24 Oct
Leatherhead
2 : 3
Eastbourne Borough
20 Oct
Yeovil
5 : 2
Leatherhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 14 11 1 2 43:16 34
2 Welling 15 11 0 4 31:15 33
3 Eastbourne Borough 14 10 1 3 26:12 31
4 Lewes 15 8 3 4 23:18 27
5 Dartford 15 9 0 6 24:22 27
6 St. Albans 12 7 2 3 24:16 23
7 Ramsgate 14 7 1 6 29:19 22
8 Wingate & Finchley 14 6 4 4 27:26 22
9 Carshalton 16 7 1 8 23:32 22
10 Leatherhead 13 6 3 4 27:21 21
11 Chatham 14 7 0 7 27:23 21
12 Dulwich Hamlet 15 6 3 6 25:26 21
13 Burgess Hill 15 5 6 4 25:27 21
14 Aveley 15 6 2 7 25:24 20
15 Whyteleafe 15 5 3 7 26:27 18
16 Cheshunt 15 4 6 5 17:23 18
17 Maldon & Tiptree 17 5 2 10 23:39 17
18 Cray Wanderers 10 4 3 3 23:15 15
19 Brentwood 14 5 0 9 24:27 15
20 Three Bridges 14 2 3 9 24:39 9
21 Stanway Rovers 15 2 1 12 14:40 7
22 Whitehawk 15 1 3 11 14:37 6
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)