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Aveley vs Lewes Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Henshaw R.
58' Event
Bassett D.
89' Event
Gondoh R.

AI Match Summary

Lewes in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lewes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aveley
15%
Draws
42%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aveley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Aveley have won more games recently than Lewes.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aveley Lewes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 2.27 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Lewes
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Aveley
1:6
Oct 18, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Lewes
3:0
Feb 18, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs Lewes
2:0
Nov 1, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Aveley
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aveley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassett D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gondoh R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aveley 34 / 100
Lewes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aveley Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aveley's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lewes let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Lewes registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aveley VS Lewes
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aveley

(Home)
29 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Aveley
25 Sept
Aveley
3 : 1
Ware
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
Page 1 of 6

Lewes

(Away)
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dartford 9 7 0 2 15:9 21
2 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
3 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Dulwich Hamlet 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
6 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
7 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
8 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
9 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Cray Wanderers 8 3 3 2 18:12 12
12 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
13 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Aveley 9 3 1 5 16:16 10
16 Maldon & Tiptree 9 3 0 6 13:26 9
17 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
18 Brentwood 8 2 0 6 13:15 6
19 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
20 Whitehawk 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
21 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)